This from the latest Reuters poll on, in effect, EUR/USD

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I can't emphasize enough how big this could be in the long term. And that it's coming after very strong ISM non-manufacturing data is telling. The problems start when stock markets decide the don't like rising borrowing costs, even if it's a signal that the US economy is doing better. I think there will be a goldilocks period for a time but the equity market can quickly get jittery about inflation and valuations aren't exactly at cheap levels, especially if the dollar starts to run.

Title text for next article. Join our Telegram group. Get the ForexLive Newsletter. China holidays continue all week but its not helping the yuan - CNH slides further. Thu 4 Oct There are two yuans, the onshore and the offshore. The offshore yuan often leads the onshore not always , and its paving the way lower: The USD is up across the board, overnight and again in the Asian morning. So its hardly surprising the yuan is lower.

TBH I am surprised its not lost more ground. View Full Article with Comments. Asset 24 View More. Trade ideas thread - European session 2 October Wed 3 Oct Here's a trade idea that's at a discount Adam Button. Moody's on their stable outlook for New Zealand's banking system The ratings agency says their stable outlook for NZ banks is underpinned by health economic conditions Capitalisation will improve moderately Funding will remain steady as credit growth slows, resulting in a marginal narrowing of bank's funding gap.

Moody's on their stable outlook for New Zealand's banking system Eamonn Sheridan. The ratings agency says their stable outlook for NZ banks is underpinned by health economic conditions - Capitalisation will improve moderately - Funding will remain steady as credit growth slows, resulting in a marginal narrowing of bank's funding gap.

There are the headline commetns on the first and second post above, but some of the news organisations have recaps up also if you'd like a little more:. Batman with the POWell punch.

Britain says Russian military intelligence behind host of global cyber attacks Eamonn Sheridan. Australia services PMI comes in at Australia's trade account has been in surplus each month so far in What could make the FOMC speed up the pace of tightening? What would make it pause? And how will the Committee know when it's done?

We continue to expect five more rate hikes through the end of , with risks to the upside. Their nominated entry point is under water as I post, but if you like their reasoning you have an opportunity for better entry thanks to the overnight slide and Powell's comments late NY time headlines , and more. Their nominated entry point is under water as I post, but if you like their reasoning you have an opportunity for better entry thanks to the overnight slide and Powell's comments late NY time , and.

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap: Strong US data sends the dollar higher. Forex news for NY trading on October 3, Inflation at goal, economy positive, unemployment lowest in 20 yrs Fed's Mester: Does not see high risk that US inflation will pick up precipitously Crude oil futures not phased by inventory data, settle up 1.

Labor market has very little slack Italy gov't agrees to deficit targets Homework assignment: Lessons for traders courtesy of Amazon's Jeff Bezos European shares rebound in trading today Iranian sanctions will go into effect in November.

The Dow closed at another record and was up 0. The Nasdaq closed up European shares closed mostly higher at the midpoint of the NA session. Here is the breakdown: France's Cac rose 0. In the 10 year note market: Near the close for the day, the 10 year yield is now up The 30 year yield is up Strong economic data and now some hawkish comments from Fed's Powell is the catalyst.

Below is a snapshot of the changes and ranges. Note the yield curve also steepened by 5. That is a big change. In the forex market, the US dollar is ending the day and the NA session sharply higher. Fundamentally, there are a number of catalysts:. That is a big move. Moreover, they want to lead the charge to invoke change on a national level. Think the increase in costs for small businesses and its impact on prices.

Markit PMI services came in at That was the best reading since New orders rose to Yikes that was good. Powell said at the end of the day that the Fed may raise rates past neutral. That has pushed the USD even higher in the last hour of the day Below is a snapshot of the strongest and the weakest. The biggest dollar gains are vs. The dollar is king today. Looking at the 4-hour chart of the EURUSD, the low in the last flush lower at the end of the day stalled at a lower trend line.

Looking at the daily chart, the price fell back below a broken trend line and is probing toward the low for the year reached in September at 0. You can learn more about our cookie policy here , or by following the link at the bottom of any page on our site. Follow breaking news on global financial markets with our real-time news feed, which is updated throughout the day. You can access forex news live and read about the latest trends affecting commodities, indices and more.

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